Posted in2026 election National politics

Nate Silver’s midterm election model looks good for Dems both nationally and in Oregon

It's September. Time to start taking seriously projections for how the November 3 midterm election will turn out. My favorite prognosticator is Nate Silver, who runs the Silver Bulletin that I subscribe to, political junkie that I am. Silver is analyzing every race for the House, Senate, and Governor, along with the probability of each party controlling the House and Senate. Naturally Silver's model will be frequently updated between now and November 3, so what I've shared below is just a snapshot as of September 2. This is a description of the basic methodology used by Silver's FLIPR model: Forecast…
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